Is Harry Reid in trouble? Will John McCain take heat from the base? And what's Marco Rubio's plan? Is Harry Reid the most vulnerable senator in 2016, or is it a blue-state Republican such as Ron Johnson of Wisconsin or Mark Kirk of Illinois? Democrats will be benefiting from a favorable landscape, with Republicans defending 24 seats while Democrats will be defending only 10. To leverage that advantage into control of the Senate, however, Democrats need to net at least four seats . That requires sweeping out blue-state freshman Republicans in states such as Illinois, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin while also defeating a couple of brand-name senators, such as Rob Portman or Marco Rubio, in perennial swing states.
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